Gross mortgage lending totalled an estimated £11.3 billion in May, a 7% increase from £10.5 billion in April and up 10% from £10.2 billion in May 2009, according to new data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

The market remains subdued and, while more buoyant than a year ago, turnover is a little below that seen towards the end of 2009. Gross lending may marginally undershoot the existing CML forecast of £150 billion for 2010.

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CML economist Paul Samter commented: "The ground has been cleared for next week's Budget to be the start of an austerity drive to get the public finances onto a more sustainable footing. We do not expect it to include housing and mortgage specific direct tax measures. But the market will inevitably be affected by how policy impacts on the wider economy - particularly on household finances and confidence.

"Financial sector regulation is a further source of uncertainty. The Chancellor has announced that the Bank of England is to take on regulatory responsibility for the banking system. As well as regulating individual firms, the Bank will have "macro prudential" powers and be accountable for the stability of the system as a whole. But it is not yet clear what levers it will have at its disposal to do so."

(CD/GK)